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Wednesday, 27 January 2010 04:00

Morgan Stanley and Suntrust Bank Q4-09 Reviews Are Available

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Fourth quarter operating results opinions are available for Morgan Stanley and Suntrust for paying subscribers(File Icon STI 4Q09_Review

and File Icon MS 4Q09 result).

Of particular note is the difference between some readers perception of the Suntrust results and mine. If you take a close look at the results, you will see credit performance and asset quality is still deteriorating. The perception of a reprieve or moderation is potentially misleading due to the fact that Suntrust (like most other large banks) is actively shrinking their loan portfolio and transferring bad assets from one category to another.

To the credit of the CEO, he actually appears to tell it like it is and does not appear to be on a marketing binge to sugarcoat reality. This is an impressive, and increasingly rare trait among the C-suite crowd!

Some highlights from the Sun Trust Review:

  • Nonperforming
    loans declined marginally to $5,403 mn (4.75% of total loans) at the end
    of 4Q09
    from $5,444 mn (4.67% of total loans) at the end of 3Q09 but relatively
    remain
    high when compared with $3,940 mn (3.10% of total loans) at the end of
    4Q08. This
    marginal decline in non-performing loans can largely be attributed to
    the
    transfer from non-accrual to foreclosed and other real estate owned
    category.

    sti_charge-offs.pngsti_charge-offs.pngsti_charge-offs.png

  • With tangible equity
    declining further owing to losses recorded during the quarter, the Texas ratio
    inched higher to 59.8% in 4Q09 against 58.0% in 3Q08
    . Further,
    the Bank's interest earning assets are contracting
    as the loan
    portfolio shrunk 2.4% (q-o-q) as the Bank continues to reduce exposure to
    residential and commercial real estate.
sti_texas_ratio.pngsti_texas_ratio.pngsti_texas_ratio.png
  • Non-interest income declined 4.2% (q-o-q) to $742 mn from $775 mn in 3Q09 largely owing to lower mortgage production income due to higher estimated losses related to the potential repurchase of mortgage loans (a recurring theme in nearly all of the TARP recipient bank's Q4 results, including JP Morgan and Wells Fargo - see WFC 4Q09_Review- subscriber edition or the less intense, free version as well as the JPM 4Q09 review - public edition).

Next up, a look at the "new" Goldman Sachs valuation scenarios, more on the China short thesis debate, the Central and Eastern European short thesis and the macro/fundamental prospects of the simultaneous withdrawal of stimulus in both China and the US: Fed Declares Recovery for First Time, Prepares Ground for End to Stimulus . As I prepare this, the European financial markets are in the process of melting down. I have performed a decent amount of due diligence on my European shorts and will be putting them out shortly to subscirbers.

Tagged under
  • Commercial Banks
  • Earnings
  • Research
  • Asset Securitization Crisis

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More in this category: « The Spanish Inquisition is About to Begin... The Potential Effects of Remnibi Appreciation on China's Economy »

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