Would you buy Countrywide if all of its bad mortgages were magically wiped off the books?
Tweet me! I know I wouldn't. I believe there are better investments out there from a risk/reward perspective. Countrywide is in a bit of a jam, and it is not just from bad loans on the books. Looking at the Countrywide Foreclosures Blog (yes, there actually is one), I found this article:14,196 Homes Offered For Sale on Countrywide Financial's Website. I browsed through some of the site, and the small sample of numbers that I looked at seemed accurately reported. It also seems to mesh with Housingtracker.net. Browsing through the comments, someone noticed that the bank and trust offerings were not included. I looked, and at first glance, it seemed like he had a point. Now,it is a lot of work to verify all of this, but if it does pay out (and it looks like it does), Countrywide has nearly 100% of it market capitalization outstanding as REOs - in a market where houses just aren't selling and property values are falling fast. This is totally discounting each and every under performing and underwater mortgage asset they have on their books.
| Held by Countrywide Mortgage Co. | $ 2,910,876,468 |
| Held by Countrywide Trust and Bank | $ 2,969,067,322 |
| Total | $ 5,879,943,790 |
| CFC Market Capitalization | $ 6,180,000,000 |
| % market cap held as REO | 95% |
Just some food for thought.
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