Displaying items by tag: American Express

Tuesday, 15 December 2009 00:00

Bank consumer credit quality recap for October 2009

As anticipated in the latest forensic analysis, JPMorgan Chase & Co., the biggest credit-card lender, said defaults climbed to a 2009 high of 8.81 percent from 8.02 percent in October. Delinquencies for the New York-based bank fell to 4.9 percent from 4.95 percent.

pdf  JPM Public Excerpt of Forensic Analysis Subscription 2009-09-22 14:33:53 1.51 Mb

pdf  JPM Forensic Report (092209) Final- Retail 2009-09-24 03:12:17 130.93 Kb

pdf  JPM Report (092209) Final - Professional 2009-09-24 03:13:31 550.72 Kb

Defaults at Bank of America Corp., the No. 2 card lender, fell to 13 percent from 13.22 percent, while late payments increased to 7.69 percent from 7.59 percent, the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank said in a federal filing.

pdf  BAC Swap exposure_011009 2009-10-15 01:02:21 279.76 Kb   - Is BAC the next AIG?

Capital One Financial Corp., the third-biggest issuer of Visa Inc. credit cards, posted increases in defaults and delinquencies. Write-offs climbed to 9.6 percent from 9.04 percent, and payments at least 30 days overdue rose to 5.87 percent from 5.72 percent, McLean, Virginia-based Capital One said.

Tuesday, 15 December 2009 00:00

Bank consumer credit quality recap for October 2009

As anticipated in the latest forensic analysis, JPMorgan Chase & Co., the biggest credit-card lender, said defaults climbed to a 2009 high of 8.81 percent from 8.02 percent in October. Delinquencies for the New York-based bank fell to 4.9 percent from 4.95 percent.

pdf  JPM Public Excerpt of Forensic Analysis Subscription 2009-09-22 14:33:53 1.51 Mb

pdf  JPM Forensic Report (092209) Final- Retail 2009-09-24 03:12:17 130.93 Kb

pdf  JPM Report (092209) Final - Professional 2009-09-24 03:13:31 550.72 Kb

Defaults at Bank of America Corp., the No. 2 card lender, fell to 13 percent from 13.22 percent, while late payments increased to 7.69 percent from 7.59 percent, the Charlotte, North Carolina-based bank said in a federal filing.

pdf  BAC Swap exposure_011009 2009-10-15 01:02:21 279.76 Kb   - Is BAC the next AIG?

Capital One Financial Corp., the third-biggest issuer of Visa Inc. credit cards, posted increases in defaults and delinquencies. Write-offs climbed to 9.6 percent from 9.04 percent, and payments at least 30 days overdue rose to 5.87 percent from 5.72 percent, McLean, Virginia-based Capital One said.

I am now releasing the additional calculated capital requirements for several banks, with the full set of calculations available for download for free registered users. I am releasing my proprietary work to demonstrate to those who do not currently subscribe to BoomBustBlog the depth and breadth of this site's capabilities. 

The Methodology Used 

As stated in my original release of the Sun Trust Stress Test Analysis, I don't necessarily agree with the methodology and assumptions of the government's version of the stress test. For one, they don't risk weight earnings, only assets. Some of the investment banking operations take significant risks to generate earnings (see "Goldman Sachs Banking Secrets Mr. Geithner May Not Share With You!), and these actions pose systemic risk. In addition, the bar is too low to be considered truly stressful (eg. 8.4% average unemployment as a base case in an 8.5% unemployment environment, trending upwards). I have rectified the problem of floating government targets and expectations by creating a scenario analysis that covers multiple assumptions, thus the readers can decide for themselves which set of assumptions to use in order to arrive at what they feel would be the government's (or the most realistic) conclusion.